Source: brier.fyi
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A | 0.0025 | -0.0513 | 0.9986 |
| Time-Weighted Average | A | 0.0037 | -0.0625 | 0.9979 |
| 30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0024 | -0.0505 | 0.9987 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0009 | -0.0310 | 0.9995 |
| Relative Score | B- | -0.002 | +0.015 | +0.002 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | B+ | 0.0132 | -0.1222 | 0.9917 |
| Time-Weighted Average | A- | 0.0096 | -0.1032 | 0.9941 |
| 30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0030 | -0.0566 | 0.9983 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0036 | -0.0619 | 0.9980 |
| Relative Score | C | +0.002 | -0.015 | -0.002 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A- | 0.0079 | -0.0867 | 0.9951 |
| Time-Weighted Average | A- | 0.0066 | -0.0829 | 0.9960 |
| 30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0027 | -0.0535 | 0.9985 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0023 | -0.0464 | 0.9987 |