This market predicts whether Chris Murphy (D) will win the 2024 Connecticut Senate seat by considering the outcome of the election as determined by local, state, and federal governments. The resolution criteria is tied to the party that wins the popular vote in the race, as reported by major news organizations such as the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If a candidate switches parties after Election Day, their switch will not affect the outcome. The market may resolve early if the race is called by these news organizations. The market's resolution source ultimately depends on official certification of the election results.