Will Microsoft shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
  • 47
  • 5,032
  • $7,603,075
Microsoft shareholders are scheduled to vote on whether to invest in Bitcoin at their December 10, 2024 shareholder meeting. The resolution criteria is approval by Microsoft's shareholders. If the vote results in "yes", the outcome will be favorable for a potential investment. If the vote does not occur or its results are not released by December 31st, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, it will be considered unfavorable. Official information from Microsoft or filings with the SEC will serve as the resolution source.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability27Oct3Nov1017241Dec8

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 47
  • 13
  • $16

Will Microsoft shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7502
-2.0108
0.1528
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3645
-0.9258
0.5487
30 Days Before Close
C
0.1081
-0.3987
0.8980
7 Days Before Close
F
0.7399
-1.9674
0.1604
Relative Score
F
+0.218
-0.559
-0.248
  • Polymarket
  • 48
  • 5,019
  • $7,603,059

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B+
0.0132
-0.1222
0.9917
Time-Weighted Average
B+
0.0132
-0.1221
0.9917
30 Days Before Close
B+
0.0121
-0.1165
0.9924
7 Days Before Close
A-
0.0090
-0.0998
0.9945
Relative Score
S
-0.218
+0.559
+0.248
  • Overall
  • 47
  • 5,032
  • $7,603,075
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3817
-1.0665
0.5722
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.1889
-0.5239
0.7702
30 Days Before Close
C
0.0601
-0.2576
0.9452
7 Days Before Close
F
0.3745
-1.0336
0.5775

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