Source: brier.fyi
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A- | 0.0079 | -0.0932 | 0.9953 |
| Time-Weighted Average | A- | 0.0089 | -0.0992 | 0.9946 |
| 30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0051 | -0.0739 | 0.9971 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0012 | -0.0354 | 0.9994 |
| Relative Score | C+ | -0.001 | +0.005 | +0.001 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A- | 0.0087 | -0.0978 | 0.9948 |
| Time-Weighted Average | B+ | 0.0107 | -0.1090 | 0.9934 |
| 30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0025 | -0.0511 | 0.9986 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0017 | -0.0427 | 0.9991 |
| Relative Score | C | +0.001 | -0.005 | -0.001 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A- | 0.0083 | -0.0955 | 0.9950 |
| Time-Weighted Average | A- | 0.0098 | -0.1041 | 0.9940 |
| 30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0038 | -0.0625 | 0.9978 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0015 | -0.0390 | 0.9992 |