Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024?
  • 50
  • 1,380
  • $38,432
This market resolves positively if Apple announces that it has partnered with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024. A partnership means both companies are working together actively, not just using each other's APIs. The announcement at WWDC is the primary resolution source; a finalized or active partnership isn't necessary for a positive outcome. A clear statement about the partnership would be sufficient, such as "we partnered with OpenAI to improve Siri" or "Siri will be running the latest OpenAI models."

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability28Apr5May1219262Jun9

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 51
  • $7,897

Apple AI partnership? | OpenAI

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
A
0.0025
-0.0513
0.9986
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.0805
-0.3337
0.9297
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0064
-0.0834
0.9962
7 Days Before Close
S
0.0001
-0.0101
0.9999
Relative Score
A
-0.032
+0.108
+0.030
  • Manifold
  • 29
  • 1,351
  • $18,736

Will Apple announce a partnership with OpenAI regarding Siri during WWDC 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.0880
-0.3520
0.9214
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.1028
-0.3867
0.9043
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0862
-0.3475
0.9234
Relative Score
F
+0.037
-0.114
-0.035
  • Polymarket
  • 7
  • 29
  • $11,800

Apple x OpenAI partnership announced in WWDC 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B
0.0272
-0.1803
0.9810
Time-Weighted Average
B-
0.0348
-0.2063
0.9747
Relative Score
C
+0.003
-0.010
-0.004
  • Overall
  • 50
  • 1,380
  • $38,432
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B-
0.0393
-0.1945
0.9670
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.0727
-0.3089
0.9362
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0064
-0.0834
0.9962
7 Days Before Close
C+
0.0431
-0.1788
0.9617

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