A major news source must report that an AI entered a programming competition with at least two other good participants and won the top prize. A "good participant" is defined as someone who could perform above an average big tech company employee, unless there are at least twenty-five non-explicitly skilled participants, in which case the event will be considered true by default. The competition must be fair and not sponsored solely by the AI company. The resolution of this event depends on Scott Alexander's judgment, as stated in his 2023 prediction contest rules.