Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? Kamala Harris's chances in the 2024 Democratic primary were uncertain, given Joe Biden's intention to run for re-election and a March 2022 poll showing that 52% of Americans expected him not to run. However, some speculate that she could emerge as a candidate if Biden withdraws or is unable to secure the nomination due to declining approval ratings and an unfavorable inflation rate. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris wins the 2024 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The outcome is determined by who is selected as the nominee at the 2024 Democratic National Convention and may be affected if there is no convention or if a candidate withdraws.