Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1434 | -0.4760 | 0.8539 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1740 | -0.5398 | 0.8132 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0003 | -0.0188 | 0.9998 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0101 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | D | +0.022 | -0.064 | -0.022 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | F | 0.3426 | -0.8802 | 0.5781 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1773 | -0.5465 | 0.8087 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0141 | 0.9999 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0157 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | A | -0.021 | +0.058 | +0.022 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | A | 0.0014 | -0.0382 | 0.9992 |
Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0139 | -0.1252 | 0.9912 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0139 | 0.9999 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0097 | 1.0000 |
Relative Score | C | +0.001 | +0.000 | -0.002 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1625 | -0.4648 | 0.8104 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1217 | -0.4038 | 0.8711 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0156 | 0.9999 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0001 | -0.0118 | 0.9999 |
Kalshi | F | +0.105 |
Manifold | A | -0.038 |
Polymarket | S | -0.249 |
Kalshi | D- | +0.025 |
Manifold | F | +0.044 |
Polymarket | S | -0.085 |