A successful deepfake attempt causing real damage must result in harm that directly affects the victim's belief, such as costing them money or upsetting a specific name-able person. The harm is defined as a direct consequence of believing the deepfake, not just emotional distress due to awareness of its existence. To resolve positively, the event must be reported on by a major news source. A successful attempt would need to cause tangible damage that makes headlines, such as financial loss or reputational harm. Resolution criteria are determined by Scott Alexander's judgment and evaluation in his 2023 prediction contest.