The markets are asking whether the winner of the presidential election will also win the popular vote. The resolution criteria is that if the winner receives a plurality of votes, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The outcome is determined by the official vote count provided by the Federal Election Commission and is contingent upon Congress certifying the results in January 2025 or earlier. If the election date changes or Congress fails to certify the results by February 1, 2025, the question becomes ambiguous.