Will Dune: Part Two win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?
  • 365
  • 416
  • $145,408
If "Dune: Part Two" wins Best Sound at the 97th Academy Awards, then this market resolves to Yes. The 97th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 2, 2025, and will honor films from 2024, including "Dune: Part Two". This market considers all categories where "Dune: Part Two" is a contender for an Oscar, resolving YES if it wins in any of them. If no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, or in case of a tie, the market will resolve in favor of the nominated film that comes first alphabetically.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityApr2024JulOctJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 131
  • $85,936

Will Dune: Part Two win Best Sound at the Oscars? | Dune: Part Two

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.0900
-0.3567
0.9191
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.1161
-0.4167
0.8883
30 Days Before Close
C
0.0841
-0.3425
0.9258
7 Days Before Close
C
0.1156
-0.4155
0.8890
Relative Score
A-
-0.015
+0.033
+0.018
  • Manifold
  • 366
  • 10
  • $798

Which Oscars will "Dune: Part Two" win at the 97th Academy Awards? [Mega-market] | Sound

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C-
0.1376
-0.4635
0.8614
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.1365
-0.4611
0.8628
30 Days Before Close
D+
0.1621
-0.5151
0.8293
7 Days Before Close
C
0.1225
-0.4308
0.8805
Relative Score
D
+0.018
-0.041
-0.022
  • Polymarket
  • 13
  • 406
  • $58,674

Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.1089
-0.4005
0.8971
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.0932
-0.3644
0.9155
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0729
-0.3147
0.9379
Relative Score
B-
-0.003
+0.009
+0.003
  • Overall
  • 365
  • 416
  • $145,408
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.1122
-0.4069
0.8925
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.1153
-0.4141
0.8889
30 Days Before Close
C
0.1231
-0.4288
0.8775
7 Days Before Close
C
0.1037
-0.3870
0.9024

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