Will Flow win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?
  • 115
  • 170
  • $270,411
Flow has won Best Animated Feature at the 97th Academy Awards if it meets the resolution criteria: being declared as the winner by official information from the Academy Awards or AMPAS on or before March 2, 2025. If no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, the market resolves in favor of the nominated film with the alphabetical order priority. The primary resolution source includes official data and live broadcast information from the award ceremony's website and network. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Flow does not win Best Animated Feature at the Oscars if it is declared a nominee but not selected as the winner, or if no resolution occurs by the specified deadline.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityDec2024Jan2025FebMar

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 116
  • $134,545

Will Flow win Best Animated Feature at the Oscars? | Flow

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6400
-1.6094
0.2425
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5790
-1.4309
0.2998
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.3481
-0.8916
0.5707
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5329
-1.3093
0.3469
Relative Score
A
-0.023
+0.052
+0.029
  • Manifold
  • 39
  • 46
  • $134

What will win Best Animated Feature Film? (2025 Oscars) | Flow

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5013
-1.2310
0.3813
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.4580
-1.1293
0.4310
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3772
-0.9524
0.5319
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5267
-1.2937
0.3535
Relative Score
D
+0.018
-0.041
-0.023
  • Polymarket
  • 13
  • 124
  • $135,732

Will "Flow" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5402
-1.3280
0.3392
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5251
-1.2897
0.3552
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5476
-1.3471
0.3315
Relative Score
D
+0.019
-0.047
-0.021
  • Overall
  • 115
  • 170
  • $270,411
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5605
-1.3895
0.3210
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5207
-1.2833
0.3620
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3627
-0.9220
0.5513
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5357
-1.3167
0.3440

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