Several platforms have created markets to predict whether Sweden will join NATO before 2025. These markets generally require a definitive membership decision rather than just an application or path towards joining. The resolution criteria varies slightly between them, but they all focus on the official confirmation of Sweden's membership by January 1st, 2025. Some sources also note that Turkey's vote is crucial for NATO accession, with one market noting that Turkey has delayed its decision. Overall, these markets capture the sentiment that Sweden needs to formally join NATO for the question to be considered resolved.