Kevin McCarthy was elected Speaker of the US House of Representatives on January 7, 2023, after multiple ballots. The position is considered weakened due to concessions made to the House Freedom Caucus and rules allowing for a simple majority vote to oust the Speaker. Markets consider whether Kevin McCarthy will remain or continue as Speaker through the end of 2023. Resolution criteria vary among markets: one resolves to "Yes" if he remains Speaker from September 28 through December 31, while others consider him Speaker on January 1, 2024 at noon Eastern Time. The outcome is dependent on his continued leadership without interruption until the designated time frame.