Source: brier.fyi
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | C | 0.0661 | -0.2973 | 0.9450 |
| Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0689 | -0.3045 | 0.9421 |
| Relative Score | C- | +0.005 | -0.015 | -0.005 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | C | 0.0756 | -0.3216 | 0.9350 |
| Time-Weighted Average | C+ | 0.0542 | -0.2651 | 0.9569 |
| 7 Days Before Close | C | 0.0756 | -0.3216 | 0.9350 |
| Relative Score | B | -0.005 | +0.015 | +0.005 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | C | 0.0709 | -0.3094 | 0.9400 |
| Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0616 | -0.2848 | 0.9495 |
| 7 Days Before Close | C | 0.0756 | -0.3216 | 0.9350 |
| Manifold | S | -0.091 |
| Metaculus | D- | +0.027 |
| Polymarket | F | +0.036 |