Four SpaceX Starship launches are expected to successfully reach outer space in 2024 if exactly four launches achieve an altitude of at least 62 miles above sea level between January 1 and December 31, 2024. The definition of a successful launch is that the vehicle takes off from its launchpad and reaches this minimum altitude before any subsequent anomalies occur. Resolution criteria will be based on primary sources such as SpaceX's official video feed, supplemented by secondary feeds or written reports if necessary. Credible reporting will also be considered in case of disagreements among sources. Any launch achieving this milestone will result in the market resolving to "Yes", while no launches meeting the criteria will resolve to "No".