If NASA announces that a manned mission landed on the Moon before a specific date, the outcome will be Yes. The resolution criteria require at least one crew member to be alive and the mission must occur before January 1, 2025. Funding is also an important factor, as only missions more than 50% funded by the Federal Government of the United States or its agencies count towards a positive resolution. This means that even if NASA does not provide full funding for the mission, it will still be counted as a US mission if certain conditions are met. The outcome will resolve when the announcement is made and the market expires the day after.