Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 75
  • 1,944
  • $25,109,712
Florida wins the 2025 NCAA Tournament if they are declared the champion of the tournament according to the NCAA's rules. The outcome is resolved once a winner is declared by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, with no winner declared being resolved immediately to "No". If Florida does not win, it will be due to being eliminated from the competition. In the event that no winner is declared by the specified deadline, the market resolves to "Other".

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability26Jan2Feb916232Mar91623306Apr

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 76
  • $23,409,232

Will the Florida win the March Madness?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.8464
-2.5257
0.0866
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7560
-2.0361
0.1485
30 Days Before Close
F
0.8100
-2.3026
0.1104
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5776
-1.4271
0.3011
Relative Score
C
+0.003
-0.025
-0.001
  • Manifold
  • 42
  • 89
  • $807

🏀 Which team will win the 2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament (March Madness)? | Florida

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7026
-1.8214
0.1895
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6824
-1.7490
0.2061
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7728
-2.1129
0.1362
7 Days Before Close
F
0.6302
-1.5792
0.2513
Relative Score
C-
+0.009
-0.018
-0.009
  • Polymarket
  • 13
  • 1,855
  • $1,699,673

Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6107
-1.5210
0.2693
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5025
-1.2340
0.3799
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5975
-1.4828
0.2818
Relative Score
B
-0.007
+0.021
+0.009
  • Overall
  • 75
  • 1,944
  • $25,109,712
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7199
-1.9560
0.1818
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6469
-1.6730
0.2448
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7914
-2.2077
0.1233
7 Days Before Close
F
0.6018
-1.4964
0.2781

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