Prediction markets are created to determine the best AI system by April 2025. The resolution criteria for some of these predictions include a tie resolving in favor of "No" and a single top-ranked LLM. A key factor is whether Google has the highest ranked LLM on that date, specifically looking at its position in the leaderboard rather than its Arena Elo Score. Some markets focus solely on whether Google's AI model ranks first by April 30, while others acknowledge the possibility of ties. The outcome is decided based on the ranking of the top AI models as determined on or before the specified deadline.