Will Florida make the Final Four in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 358
  • 88
  • $10,482,047
Florida must have a RPI of at least 38 to qualify for Semifinal consideration. The team must also have won at least one round as a No. 4 seed or higher. If these conditions are met, the answer is Yes. If no such team has been seeded outside of the top 4 in a certain number of rounds by March Madness, then Florida does not qualify for Semifinal consideration. The resolution criteria can vary from platform to platform and may require additional considerations such as a set number of wins or an average win percentage threshold.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025Apr

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 14
  • $10,448,689

Will Florida qualify for Semifinal?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1600
-0.5108
0.8321
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1929
-0.5783
0.7873
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.2209
-0.6349
0.7482
Relative Score
D
+0.018
-0.042
-0.023
  • Manifold
  • 359
  • 16
  • $1,611

Which NCAA Men's Basketball teams will make the Final Four in March Madness in 2025? | Florida

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7573
-2.0421
0.1475
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7055
-1.8321
0.1872
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7268
-1.9143
0.1704
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1252
-0.4367
0.8771
Relative Score
F
+0.049
-0.094
-0.067
  • Polymarket
  • 4
  • 72
  • $31,747

Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0702
-0.3079
0.9407
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.0761
-0.3229
0.9345
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1332
-0.4541
0.8670
Relative Score
B+
-0.010
+0.020
+0.013
  • Overall
  • 358
  • 88
  • $10,482,047
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3292
-0.9536
0.6401
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3248
-0.9111
0.6363
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7268
-1.9143
0.1704
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1598
-0.5086
0.8308

Similar Questions

Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 1,944
  • $25,109,712
Kalshi
C
+0.003
Manifold
C-
+0.009
Polymarket
B
-0.007
Will Duke make the Final Four in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 113
  • $6,595,085
Kalshi
C+
-0.000
Manifold
B
-0.005
Polymarket
C+
-0.001
Will Auburn make the Final Four in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 67
  • $8,472,883
Kalshi
B-
-0.003
Manifold
D+
+0.011
Polymarket
C+
-0.001
Will Florida make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 8
  • $3,868,702
Kalshi
A-
-0.015
Manifold
D+
+0.015
Will Michigan State make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 5
  • $5,426,031
Kalshi
A+
-0.048
Manifold
F
+0.048
Will Tennessee make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 5
  • $2,454,762
Kalshi
A
-0.020
Manifold
D
+0.020